Ryanair: Could my prayers be answered?

[Clive]

Hi, friend of mine is Ryanair crew who says they’ve been told they may be able to transfer from EDI based crew to Glasgow based crew depending on factors. Last time they advertised this was for Prestwick but they’ve been told it could be a mix of GLA and PIK “to support future possible flying activity in the region”.

Good info and great news.

[AD1]

Don’t know if this was noticed or just changed. GLA-DUB doesn’t have a 7/8am departure loaded on Mondays and Wednesdays as was a few weeks ago. Instead first is ~9am with flight number around FR276 rather than 57XX region. Could just be bland schedule/number change or could be something else

[awwdabaaby]

Don’t know if this was noticed or just changed. GLA-DUB doesn’t have a 7/8am departure loaded on Mondays and Wednesdays as was a few weeks ago. Instead first is ~9am with flight number around FR276 rather than 57XX region. Could just be bland schedule/number change or could be something else

The 27x number has been about since middle of last year, whenever I did the schedule update

[buddyboy]

Now that the usual flights are on sale, are we expecting anything else? Or is the general consensus that FR are done for 24?

[Ekally1]

Now that the usual flights are on sale, are we expecting anything else? Or is the general consensus that FR are done for 24?

Ohh yes I think there could be

[buddyboy]

Now that the usual flights are on sale, are we expecting anything else? Or is the general consensus that FR are done for 24?

Ohh yes I think there could be

Is this a feeling? Or some insider knowledge?

[Ekally1]

Now that the usual flights are on sale, are we expecting anything else? Or is the general consensus that FR are done for 24?

Ohh yes I think there could be

Is this a feeling? Or some insider knowledge?

Let's say I am really confident

[Clive]

Now that the usual flights are on sale, are we expecting anything else? Or is the general consensus that FR are done for 24?

Ohh yes I think there could be

Is this a feeling? Or some insider knowledge?

They are advertising for cabin crew EDI based ie local head office but location GLASGOW!

[Iain]

They are advertising for cabin crew EDI based ie local head office but location GLASGOW!

But FR have been conflating "Glasgow" and Prestwick for decades, so these positions could actually be at PIK.

We'll see what happens, it's get later every day with no announcement.

[kmea]

An increase to 8.5m equates to about a further 1.3m passengers compared to the MAT to October 2023 of 7.2m (latest month from CAA data). There's not much growth between now and March, so most of that 1.3m has to happen between March and December, with the bulk of it most likely being by October.

We know we'll have three additional based 737s across TUI and Jet2. Assuming four sector days for each for 211 days and 189 seats equates to around a further 475,000 (a bit less than that in reality as there'll be some W patterns). Add a two aircraft Ryanair base assuming eight sector days and you get about another 630,000 (might not be as much as that if the based aircraft took over some of the current away-based flying). So that's about 1.1m over the summer, leaving about another 200,000 to come from less intensive use of those additional aircraft in November and December. Plus there'll be some growth on existing services no doubt and the sixth based easyJet aircraft.

Ronald Leitch is presumably as ITK as they come, so should be a busy summer ahead.

Coming back to passenger number debate, is there anything other than a mutli a/c Ryanair base that could enable such a rapid increase in passenger numbers?