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Dec 2022 Statistics
Posted: Thu Feb 16, 2023 4:10 pm
by GeorgeNTravels
December total: 427,858
Intl: 207,461
Dom: 219,702
2022 Total: 6,517,618 (down 26.33% on 2019)
Re: Dec 2022 Statistics
Posted: Thu Feb 16, 2023 9:16 pm
by bill
GeorgeNTravels wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 4:10 pm
December total: 427,858
Intl: 207,461
Dom: 219,702
2022 Total: 6,517,618 (down 26.33% on 2019)
Pretty much where most of us predicted it would come in for the year. Hard at this moment to see any future growth without the obvious closure of pax op's at PIK and FR up the road to GLA, neither of which is a given any time soon if at all.
Re: Dec 2022 Statistics
Posted: Thu Feb 16, 2023 10:05 pm
by GeorgeNTravels
bill wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 9:16 pm
GeorgeNTravels wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 4:10 pm
December total: 427,858
Intl: 207,461
Dom: 219,702
2022 Total: 6,517,618 (down 26.33% on 2019)
Pretty much where most of us predicted it would come in for the year. Hard at this moment to see any future growth without the obvious closure of pax op's at PIK and FR up the road to GLA, neither of which is a given any time soon if at all.
Likely to see a recovery in Q1 of this year as Jan-Mar of 2022 were impacted by Omicron restrictions. Other than that there are no obvious growth signs.
Re: Dec 2022 Statistics
Posted: Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:19 pm
by PiperOne
GeorgeNTravels wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 4:10 pm
December total: 427,858
Intl: 207,461
Dom: 219,702
2022 Total: 6,517,618 (down 26.33% on 2019)
Worth remembering that 2019 was already on the downward slope, 8.85m vs 9.66m in 2018. As the Covid recovery works through Jan-Mar23, that could give nearly half of the airport's predicted extra 1 million for this year. After that, who knows?
Re: Dec 2022 Statistics
Posted: Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:40 pm
by hads
Its a 7 m pax per annum business.
At best.
Bearsden is accurate with the ££ usually.
I would doubt investment in infrastructure would represent a return on investment now.
Apart from Greggs obviously.
I cant see a knock it down and rebuild strategy any time soon.
Its all kind of bleak to be honest.
Re: Dec 2022 Statistics
Posted: Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:48 pm
by Clive
hads wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:40 pm
Its a 7 m pax per annum business.
At best.
Bearsden is accurate with the ££ usually.
I would doubt investment in infrastructure would represent a return on investment now.
Apart from Greggs obviously.
I cant see a knock it down and rebuild strategy any time soon.
Its all kind of bleak to be honest.
I’d proffer that more like 10m would be the mid term ceiling but that would be conditional on securing a Ryanair base and thus winning back a chunk of market share. This is cognoscenti of your 22m ceiling for the central belt market.
Re: Dec 2022 Statistics
Posted: Fri Feb 17, 2023 1:02 pm
by hads
My ceiling has been raised to 25 million post Covid. ( Central Belt bottoms on seats)
Thats the available pot imho
Its up to each of the three to get as much as they can.
Im counting out a Ryanair base at GLA entirely as its very unlikely under present circumstances.
Re: Dec 2022 Statistics
Posted: Fri Feb 17, 2023 1:42 pm
by Bearsden
18.2m for 2022 to 25.0m is a stretch given the permanent reduction circa 20% in domestic passengers . . . 22 million might be more realistic by 2025
Re: Dec 2022 Statistics
Posted: Fri Feb 17, 2023 3:06 pm
by hads
yes, thats correct. by the end of the decade, I would hope central Scotland has 25 million pax split between 3 airports.
My thinking is based on ; as nothing is imminent for 23, we can write this year off. That take us to 2024. If something happens, it will not feed in until 2025.
See where m going with this?
Re: Dec 2022 Statistics
Posted: Fri Feb 17, 2023 4:10 pm
by Clive
hads wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 3:06 pm
yes, thats correct. by the end of the decade, I would hope central Scotland has 25 million pax split between 3 airports.
My thinking is based on ; as nothing is imminent for 23, we can write this year off. That take us to 2024. If something happens, it will not feed in until 2025.
See where m going with this?
I can’t imagine PIK still being a pax airport by the second half of the decade. But stranger things have happened.