CAA Stats Oct 23

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PiperOne
Posts: 534
Joined: Sat May 02, 2020 10:01 am

CAA Stats Oct 23

Post by PiperOne »

That time of the month again, and October brings the summer season to an end.

12 mth rolling 7.210M
Oct 23 - total pax 723268 (+6%)
Domestic - 300523 (+3%)
International - 422745 (EU +6%, non-EU +14%) - Dubai 29734 (92.7% LF) with a 36% increase.

On some of our main routes, Berlin saw a 42% decline, but FRA showed a 31% increase, Dublin up by 10% and AMS up 12%. Mixed bag in Spain, with plusses in ALC and AGP countered by negatives everywhere else. A very useful 49% extra in KEF though, Turkey almost flat, but Toronto -15%. Interesting to note the Maleth A330 charter brought in 65 from Raleigh/Durham, taking 66 back out to Charlotte.
Bearsden
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Joined: Fri May 01, 2020 7:55 pm

Re: CAA Stats Oct 23

Post by Bearsden »

PiperOne wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 7:45 pm That time of the month again, and October brings the summer season to an end.

12 mth rolling 7.210M
Oct 23 - total pax 723268 (+6%)
Domestic - 300523 (+3%)
International - 422745 (EU +6%, non-EU +14%) - Dubai 29734 (92.7% LF) with a 36% increase.

On some of our main routes, Berlin saw a 42% decline, but FRA showed a 31% increase, Dublin up by 10% and AMS up 12%. Mixed bag in Spain, with plusses in ALC and AGP countered by negatives everywhere else. A very useful 49% extra in KEF though, Turkey almost flat, but Toronto -15%. Interesting to note the Maleth A330 charter brought in 65 from Raleigh/Durham, taking 66 back out to Charlotte.
6% down on October 2019 . . . of course Thomas Cook had just gone into administration a month earlier

Sadly this month Emirates < Qatar
GeorgeNTravels
Posts: 597
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2021 8:14 pm

Re: CAA Stats Oct 23

Post by GeorgeNTravels »

I would normally post a link to my website to view the end of season seats filled figures, but I'll just post them below.

For clarification, I take the total seats available from the ACL Start of Season report and the month passenger figures from the CAA and get the load factors from that. It isn't a perfect science, but it's good for estimations.

For GLA I have also been able to include cancellation figures for each route, where applicable these will be shown like so [EZY - 1], these are 1 way cancellations, so a round trip would be 2, these are important as not everyone will rebook from GLA.

This list is sorted alphabetically by country.

SZG - 83.35%

CRL - 77.34% [FR - 2]

BOJ - 82.03%

YYZ - 100.41% (some A332's changed to A333's)

DBV - 94.44%
SPU - 91.67%

LCA - 96.15%
PFO - 92.07%

PRG - 91.47%

BOD - 89.73%
CDG - 83.53% [EZY - 4]

BER - 84.16%
FRA - 74.58% [LH - 12]

CFU - 91.34% [LS - 1]
CHQ - 87.39%
EFL - 82.69%
HER - 91.97%
KGS - 87.39%
RHO - 91.98% [LS - 2, BY - 1]
ZTH - 89.98%

KEF - 70.11% [FI - 3, OG - 2]

CFN - 83.06%
DUB - 77.22% [EI - 30]

BLQ - 89.73%
FCO - 90.59%
NAP - 85.31%
VRN - 95.22%

MLA - 90.19%

CUN - 95.63%

AMS - 81.89% [EZY/EJU - 10, KL - 56]

KRK - 92.08%
WMI - 94.52%
WRO - 94.09%

FAO - 89.43% [EZY - 4]
FNC - 87.61%
LIS - 82.62% [EJU - 4, all cabin crew strikes]
OPO - 73.77% [EJU - 12, 10 cabin crew strikes and 2 tech]

ACE - 94.38%
AGP - 92.77% [EZY - 3]
ALC - 94.04% [EZY - 2]
BCN - 92.48%
FUE - 91.73%
GRO - 89.14%
IBZ - 91.65%
LPA - 95.41% [BY - 1]
MAH - 87.02%
PMI - 92.89% [EJU - 4]
REU - 93.65% [LS - 1]
TFS - 94.30% [LS - 3]

GVA - 82.89% (limited Jet2 op in April)

NBE - 94.51%

ABD - 92.35%
AYT - 76.62%
BJV - 89.77%
DLM - 91.63% [BY - 1, sunwing]

DXB - 89.26%

MLB - 88.26%
Clive
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Re: CAA Stats Oct 23

Post by Clive »

Good work George. High load factors across the board which is good news. The KEF example being an outlier because FI put a 763 on on the days Play are operating in a (successful) effort to get rid of them.
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GeorgeNTravels
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Re: CAA Stats Oct 23

Post by GeorgeNTravels »

Davieboy wrote: Sat Dec 16, 2023 8:11 am How does the number of seats in the ACL report for DXB compare to what actually operated?
Just double checked, the number looks to be spot on at 224,378 seats.

3 class A380 has 517 seats so per day that's 1,034 seats.

217 days in the season. 1034x217= 224,378
GeorgeNTravels
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Re: CAA Stats Oct 23

Post by GeorgeNTravels »

Clive wrote: Sat Dec 16, 2023 8:28 am Good work George. High load factors across the board which is good news. The KEF example being an outlier because FI put a 763 on on the days Play are operating in a (successful) effort to get rid of them.
Thanks Clive, looking at the list it's good to see city breaks picking up in popularity, destinations such as CRL were up 10% points on last year.

Poland to me jumps out as having strong growth, with the routes up 5,8,7% points respectively.
Bearsden
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Re: CAA Stats Oct 23

Post by Bearsden »

GeorgeNTravels wrote: Sat Dec 16, 2023 2:44 pm
Clive wrote: Sat Dec 16, 2023 8:28 am Good work George. High load factors across the board which is good news. The KEF example being an outlier because FI put a 763 on on the days Play are operating in a (successful) effort to get rid of them.
Thanks Clive, looking at the list it's good to see city breaks picking up in popularity, destinations such as CRL were up 10% points on last year.

Poland to me jumps out as having strong growth, with the routes up 5,8,7% points respectively.
I do like statistics but they have to be referenced in context

How many extra passengers has Ryanair carried from/to CRL over the season? In October it was only 2,352 down 4.8% which might or might not be based on the number of rotations in the respective months given it is only twice weekly - the 2,352 carried was only 15% of the total Central Scotland to CRL passenger volume . . . and of course it is still not on sale for 2024
GeorgeNTravels
Posts: 597
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2021 8:14 pm

Re: CAA Stats Oct 23

Post by GeorgeNTravels »

Over the season the carried an extra 3,013 passengers.

What should be noted, and would definitely support your point is seasons of operation. Ryanair operated the route in W22/23 but is not this winter. As a result the last few flights may have been quite compared to last year as their wasn't return flights in November.
Bearsden
Posts: 736
Joined: Fri May 01, 2020 7:55 pm

Re: CAA Stats Oct 23

Post by Bearsden »

GeorgeNTravels wrote: Sat Dec 16, 2023 6:17 pm Over the season the carried an extra 3,013 passengers.

What should be noted, and would definitely support your point is seasons of operation. Ryanair operated the route in W22/23 but is not this winter. As a result the last few flights may have been quite compared to last year as their wasn't return flights in November.
GLA-CRL (FR2558/9) is a summer only route - only Alicante, Malaga & Krakow operate along with Dublin over the winter timetable
awwdabaaby
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Re: CAA Stats Oct 23

Post by awwdabaaby »

Bearsden wrote: Sun Dec 17, 2023 12:17 am
GeorgeNTravels wrote: Sat Dec 16, 2023 6:17 pm Over the season the carried an extra 3,013 passengers.

What should be noted, and would definitely support your point is seasons of operation. Ryanair operated the route in W22/23 but is not this winter. As a result the last few flights may have been quite compared to last year as their wasn't return flights in November.
GLA-CRL (FR2558/9) is a summer only route - only Alicante, Malaga & Krakow operate along with Dublin over the winter timetable
Schedule king here, I advise you check page 3 of the Schedules (Ryanair Winter 2022) Charleoi operated last winter as you were advised, the service didn't operate this winter, end of discussion
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